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Red59
434239.8
1014313.5
901416.2
Blue86
540720.4
209516.6
27235.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8077506070901005986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +4
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
45Total teleop41
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
59Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#10
39.80.6
38.037.3
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
red by 4.0
272
#18
35.82.0
34.836.9
Auto6.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Second
9014
#17
16.20.9
18.117.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 4.1
5407
#14
20.41.4
13.615.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Third
13.50.9
12.311.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 3.1
2095
#11
16.61.4
16.417.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned