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Red132
116840.7
42322.3
511321.5
Blue122
811727.0
463715.2
253969.3
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7812250100150200132122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +25
12Coral scored#12
44Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
58Total teleop83
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
30Foul points0
132Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.71.2
32.233.4
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
blue by 28.7
69.30.4
64.965.3
Auto15.3
Teleop43.5
End10.6
Second
423
#9
22.31.2
19.821.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End4.2
blue by 4.7
8117
#20
27.00.4
27.628.0
Auto4.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
Third
5113
#12
21.51.7
23.925.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
red by 6.3
4637
#21
15.20.5
15.516.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned