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Red153
34164.4
139145.2
245821.3
Blue81
909434.7
437333.8
1065322.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1407605010015020015381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+54Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
33Coral points33
36Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +51
18Coral scored#8
63Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
93Total teleop42
Reef
8L4#4
9L3#5
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#18
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
153Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
64.41.9
62.764.6
Auto15.2
Teleop40.3
End8.9
red by 29.7
34.70.1
27.627.7
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End5.0
Second
45.22.7
43.346.1
Auto9.0
Teleop30.5
End5.8
red by 11.4
33.80.1
28.028.1
Auto11.3
Teleop20.5
End2.0
Third
2458
#13
21.32.7
18.421.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End2.7
blue by 0.9
22.10.1
24.024.1
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed