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Red125
434239.8
116840.7
909434.7
Blue94
121855.4
1058423.9
223414.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1089140608010012014016018012594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
12Coral scored#10
44Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
72Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
125Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.71.8
33.435.2
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
blue by 14.7
55.40.5
52.953.4
Auto12.6
Teleop34.5
End8.4
Second
4342
#10
39.81.8
37.339.1
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
red by 15.9
23.90.5
21.121.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End2.4
Third
34.72.4
27.730.1
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End5.0
red by 20.3
2234
#26
14.40.5
12.112.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned