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Red104
1000116.1
27235.8
34164.4
Blue134
540720.4
518143.4
116840.7
86%Model gave it14%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134100406080120160180104134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+24
Endgame+36
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#6
26Coral points30
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
58Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#7
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
6Foul points0
104Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
64.41.2
62.661.4
Auto15.2
Teleop40.3
End8.9
red by 21.0
43.42.7
40.443.1
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End3.4
Second
272
#18
35.81.4
36.134.6
Auto6.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
blue by 4.9
40.72.7
35.237.9
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
Third
16.11.4
16.815.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 4.3
5407
#14
20.42.7
17.520.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned