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Red86
1007024.7
70911.9
909434.7
Blue57
1065322.1
811727.0
901416.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67740501001508657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
54Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#4
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
86Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.71.6
30.131.7
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End5.0
red by 7.7
8117
#20
27.01.0
29.628.5
Auto4.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
Second
24.71.3
23.224.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.5
End2.6
red by 2.5
22.11.0
23.622.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End4.3
Third
709
#24
11.91.3
10.411.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
blue by 4.3
9014
#17
16.21.3
16.415.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed