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Red117
1000116.1
437333.8
434239.8
Blue114
27235.8
909434.7
1058423.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9099050150200250117114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +25
19Coral scored#14
70Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
94Total teleop69
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#6
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
117Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#10
39.80.7
38.739.4
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
red by 4.0
272
#18
35.80.5
34.935.4
Auto6.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Second
33.80.7
32.833.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.5
End2.0
blue by 0.9
34.70.5
33.834.3
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End5.0
Third
16.10.7
15.015.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 7.8
23.90.5
23.023.5
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End2.4