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Red101
121855.4
116840.7
223414.4
Blue75
540720.4
1007024.7
209516.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1286405010015020010175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+18Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
20Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +13
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
61Total teleop48
Reef
8L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +26
6Foul points6
101Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.5
54.253.7
Auto12.6
Teleop34.5
End8.4
red by 30.8
24.70.0
24.924.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Second
40.70.5
39.439.0
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
red by 20.3
5407
#14
20.40.0
20.620.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Third
2234
#26
14.40.5
13.212.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End2.8
blue by 2.1
2095
#11
16.60.0
16.816.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.1