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Red64
1065322.1
511321.5
811727.0
Blue122
27235.8
909434.7
1058423.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310505015020064122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+42
Endgame+44
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +39
7Coral scored#14
24Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
34Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points14
64Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8117
#20
27.00.4
27.427.0
Auto4.5
Teleop21.3
End1.2
blue by 8.8
272
#18
35.80.1
35.435.5
Auto6.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Second
22.10.4
22.622.1
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End4.3
blue by 12.6
34.70.1
34.334.4
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End5.0
Third
5113
#12
21.50.5
22.021.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
blue by 2.4
23.90.1
23.523.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End2.4