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Red81
540720.4
1007024.7
209516.6
Blue74
42322.3
245821.3
463715.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7572506080901008174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+5
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
50Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
81Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.1
24.925.0
Auto5.6
Teleop16.5
End2.6
red by 2.3
423
#9
22.30.1
22.422.3
Auto3.5
Teleop14.6
End4.2
Second
5407
#14
20.40.1
20.620.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
blue by 0.9
2458
#13
21.30.1
21.321.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End2.7
Third
2095
#11
16.60.1
16.816.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.1
red by 1.4
4637
#21
15.20.1
15.315.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End1.7