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Red162
34164.4
1014313.5
253969.3
Blue122
1000116.1
437333.8
434239.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1618550100150200162122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+18Teleop
+38Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points23
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +7
18Coral scored#17
63Coral points62
4Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
24Processor points18
12Net points12
36Algae points30
99Total teleop92
Reef
12L4#9
6L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#28
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +40
2Foul points0
162Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.30.4
67.567.9
Auto15.3
Teleop43.5
End10.6
red by 29.5
4342
#10
39.80.7
39.440.1
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
Second
341
#2
64.40.4
62.663.0
Auto15.2
Teleop40.3
End8.9
red by 30.5
33.80.7
33.434.2
Auto11.3
Teleop20.5
End2.0
Third
13.50.4
11.612.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 2.6
16.10.7
15.716.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6