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Red122
121855.4
116840.7
223414.4
Blue110
139145.2
901416.2
518143.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151098090100120130140150122110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points10
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +12
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
63Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#4
8L3#5
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points0
122Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.2
53.753.9
Auto12.6
Teleop34.5
End8.4
red by 10.2
45.20.2
44.344.5
Auto9.0
Teleop30.5
End5.8
Second
40.70.2
39.039.2
Auto12.2
Teleop23.2
End5.2
blue by 2.7
43.40.2
42.542.6
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End3.4
Third
2234
#26
14.40.2
12.713.0
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End2.8
blue by 1.8
9014
#17
16.20.2
15.315.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3