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Red98
1000116.1
437333.8
434239.8
Blue48
540720.4
1007024.7
209516.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104660501509848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +41
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
75Total teleop34
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
98Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#10
39.80.2
40.140.3
Auto8.4
Teleop30.5
End0.9
red by 15.2
24.70.3
25.024.7
Auto5.6
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Second
33.80.2
34.234.3
Auto11.3
Teleop20.5
End2.0
red by 13.5
5407
#14
20.40.3
20.720.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Third
16.10.2
16.416.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 0.5
2095
#11
16.60.3
16.916.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End3.1