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Red175
31654.3
540136.7
253952.3
Blue231
331472.2
171233.5
260771.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171217100150200250300175231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+48
Endgame+58
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points41
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +27
25Coral scored#31
90Coral points111
4Processor algae#5
5Net algae#5
24Processor points30
20Net points20
44Algae points50
134Total teleop161
Reef
12L4#17
10L3#8
4L2#8
4L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +56
2Foul points0
175Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#4
54.30.3
54.154.3
Auto15.9
Teleop34.7
End3.8
blue by 17.8
72.20.8
71.472.2
Auto17.5
Teleop44.3
End10.3
Second
2539
#19
52.30.3
52.052.3
Auto12.5
Teleop36.3
End3.6
blue by 18.9
71.20.8
70.571.2
Auto17.7
Teleop45.2
End8.4
Third
5401
#14
36.70.3
36.436.7
Auto3.4
Teleop29.5
End3.9
red by 3.2
1712
#18
33.50.8
32.733.5
Auto4.9
Teleop23.8
End4.7