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Red173
31654.3
540136.7
253952.3
Blue219
331472.2
171233.5
260771.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170216100150200250300173219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+36
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points37
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +32
27Coral scored#33
98Coral points120
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
18Processor points12
8Net points24
26Algae points36
124Total teleop156
Reef
13L4#10
11L3#15
5L2#9
4L1 · trough#6
38Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
173Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#4
54.30.2
53.854.1
Auto15.9
Teleop34.7
End3.8
blue by 17.8
72.20.5
70.971.4
Auto17.5
Teleop44.3
End10.3
Second
2539
#19
52.30.2
51.852.0
Auto12.5
Teleop36.3
End3.6
blue by 18.9
71.20.5
70.070.5
Auto17.7
Teleop45.2
End8.4
Third
5401
#14
36.70.2
36.236.4
Auto3.4
Teleop29.5
End3.9
red by 3.2
1712
#18
33.50.5
32.232.7
Auto4.9
Teleop23.8
End4.7