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Red222
31654.3
540136.7
253952.3
Blue219
331472.2
171233.5
260771.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16621550100150200250300222219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points37
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +13
29Coral scored#26
105Coral points92
4Processor algae#5
6Net algae#11
24Processor points30
24Net points44
48Algae points74
153Total teleop166
Reef
18L4#15
7L3#8
9L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
222Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#4
54.31.3
52.653.8
Auto15.9
Teleop34.7
End3.8
blue by 17.8
72.20.5
70.470.9
Auto17.5
Teleop44.3
End10.3
Second
2539
#19
52.31.3
50.551.8
Auto12.5
Teleop36.3
End3.6
blue by 18.9
71.20.5
69.470.0
Auto17.7
Teleop45.2
End8.4
Third
5401
#14
36.71.3
34.936.2
Auto3.4
Teleop29.5
End3.9
red by 3.2
1712
#18
33.50.5
31.732.2
Auto4.9
Teleop23.8
End4.7