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Red158
139150.8
901556.7
31654.3
Blue94
1015720.1
253952.3
999312.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1837205010015020025015894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+58Teleop
+58Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
8Coral scored#4
40Coral points19
40Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +40
20Coral scored#12
72Coral points44
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
106Total teleop66
Reef
12L4#6
6L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
8Foul points2
158Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.71.3
52.250.9
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End5.7
red by 4.4
2539
#19
52.30.0
51.551.4
Auto12.5
Teleop36.3
End3.6
Second
316
#4
54.31.3
53.251.9
Auto15.9
Teleop34.7
End3.8
red by 34.2
20.10.0
22.322.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End4.7
Third
50.81.3
55.854.5
Auto11.6
Teleop32.9
End6.3
red by 38.1
9993
#27
12.70.0
9.99.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed