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Red96
70829.5
83457.7
171233.5
Blue162
48443.0
34163.4
741437.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18117510012014016020022096162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+46
Endgame+66
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave6
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points19
23Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +44
14Coral scored#23
51Coral points83
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
69Total teleop113
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#10
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points0
96Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#11
57.73.6
65.261.6
Auto10.3
Teleop36.4
End11.0
blue by 5.7
341
#10
63.40.4
66.967.3
Auto12.0
Teleop44.2
End7.2
Second
1712
#18
33.53.6
36.432.8
Auto4.9
Teleop23.8
End4.7
blue by 9.6
484
#6
43.00.4
46.146.5
Auto13.5
Teleop24.5
End5.1
Third
708
#28
29.53.6
39.435.8
Auto5.0
Teleop21.8
End2.7
blue by 8.2
37.70.4
35.035.4
Auto6.3
Teleop26.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned