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Red175
253952.3
10355.6
83457.7
Blue55
99981.0
437339.5
70829.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1989005015025030017555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+102Teleop
+114Endgame
+120Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +89
27Coral scored#10
96Coral points35
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
134Total teleop45
Reef
9L4#4
9L3#3
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +120
6Foul points0
175Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#11
57.70.4
61.661.1
Auto10.3
Teleop36.4
End11.0
red by 18.3
4373
#33
39.52.5
40.237.7
Auto9.1
Teleop25.5
End5.0
Second
103
#17
55.60.4
53.453.0
Auto2.3
Teleop47.6
End5.7
red by 26.1
708
#28
29.52.5
35.833.3
Auto5.0
Teleop21.8
End2.7
Third
2539
#19Sur
52.30.4
51.451.0
Auto12.5
Teleop36.3
End3.6
red by 51.3
9998
#34Sur
1.04.2
8.64.4
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed