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Red96
998915.0
192358.4
999118.2
Blue139
741437.7
901556.7
997910.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8311905010015020096139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
16Coral scored#17
56Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
76Total teleop97
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#5
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
96Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#15
58.40.3
61.260.8
Auto17.2
Teleop39.1
End2.2
red by 1.7
56.71.6
50.952.6
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End5.7
Second
9991
#20
18.20.5
10.510.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 19.5
37.71.6
35.437.0
Auto6.3
Teleop26.9
End4.4
Third
9989
#29
15.00.5
9.69.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End0.8
red by 4.6
9979
#23
10.42.7
8.611.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned