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Red87
999915.9
34163.4
998414.5
Blue145
331472.2
48443.0
139150.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7220805010015025030087145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+48
Endgame+40
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave3
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points41
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +30
8Coral scored#16
27Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
47Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#8
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
15Game pieces#28
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points18
87Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#10
63.40.1
67.367.4
Auto12.0
Teleop44.2
End7.2
blue by 8.7
72.23.3
75.972.6
Auto17.5
Teleop44.3
End10.3
Second
9999
#21
15.90.1
11.211.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.5
End2.0
blue by 34.9
50.83.3
54.551.2
Auto11.6
Teleop32.9
End6.3
Third
9984
#24
14.50.1
7.67.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End1.6
blue by 28.5
484
#6
43.03.3
46.543.2
Auto13.5
Teleop24.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned