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Red107
260771.2
42710.2
29331.9
Blue71
171233.5
27238.7
1015720.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14712605010020025010771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +29
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
68Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
6Foul points6
107Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.21.3
62.260.8
Auto17.7
Teleop45.2
End8.4
red by 32.5
272
#13
38.73.1
44.541.4
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End9.6
Second
293
#25
31.91.3
36.134.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End7.8
blue by 1.6
1712
#18
33.53.1
32.829.7
Auto4.9
Teleop23.8
End4.7
Third
427
#30
10.21.3
12.511.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 9.9
20.13.1
22.219.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned