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Red89
680815.2
32123.9
10355.6
Blue145
741437.7
31654.3
253952.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10816205015020025089145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+60
Endgame+58
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +31
0Leave0
2Coral scored#9
12Coral points43
12Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +29
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
71Total teleop100
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#9
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
2Foul points0
89Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#17
55.61.6
53.051.4
Auto2.3
Teleop47.6
End5.7
red by 1.2
316
#4
54.30.4
52.051.6
Auto15.9
Teleop34.7
End3.8
Second
321
#32
23.91.6
25.323.7
Auto8.5
Teleop14.0
End1.4
blue by 28.4
2539
#19
52.30.4
51.050.6
Auto12.5
Teleop36.3
End3.6
Third
6808
#22
15.21.6
21.119.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.8
End0.6
blue by 22.5
37.70.4
37.036.6
Auto6.3
Teleop26.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsMissed