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Red97
70829.5
48443.0
192358.4
Blue119
139150.8
121857.8
43318.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511345010020097119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +17
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
51Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#10
5L3#4
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
97Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#15
58.42.7
60.858.2
Auto17.2
Teleop39.1
End2.2
red by 0.7
57.80.2
53.353.1
Auto16.7
Teleop31.5
End9.6
Second
484
#6
43.02.7
43.240.5
Auto13.5
Teleop24.5
End5.1
blue by 7.7
50.80.2
51.251.0
Auto11.6
Teleop32.9
End6.3
Third
708
#28
29.52.7
33.330.6
Auto5.0
Teleop21.8
End2.7
red by 11.3
433
#31
18.20.2
17.417.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned