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Qual 232025 Ramp Riot XXV
Red154
901556.7
171233.5
331472.2
Blue74
518147.5
27238.7
680815.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1931385010025030015474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+70Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +56
19Coral scored#8
70Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
98Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
6L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
154Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#7
72.20.5
68.1→67.6
Auto17.5
Teleop44.3
End10.3
red by 24.7
5181
#12
47.53.3
51.9→48.6
Auto8.1
Teleop35.7
End3.7
Second
9015
#2
56.70.5
52.6→52.1
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End5.7
red by 18.0
272
#13
38.73.3
41.4→38.1
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End9.6
Third
1712
#18
33.50.5
29.7→29.2
Auto4.9
Teleop23.8
End4.7
red by 18.3
6808
#22
15.23.3
19.6→16.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned