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Red97
1015720.1
741437.7
139150.8
Blue43
909437.8
540136.7
99981.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126950501502009743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+44Teleop
+56Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +48
16Coral scored#4
58Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
68Total teleop20
Reef
5L4#2
7L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points2
97Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.6
51.050.3
Auto11.6
Teleop32.9
End6.3
red by 13.0
9094
#26
37.82.6
39.937.4
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End4.2
Second
37.70.6
36.636.0
Auto6.3
Teleop26.9
End4.4
red by 1.0
5401
#14
36.72.6
35.132.6
Auto3.4
Teleop29.5
End3.9
Third
20.10.6
19.018.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End4.7
red by 19.2
9998
#34
1.04.3
4.2-0.0
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed