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Red130
518147.5
70829.5
253952.3
Blue161
998414.5
260771.2
999118.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15379050100200250300130161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+17
Endgame+29
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +7
23Coral scored#19
81Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
6Processor points12
16Net points28
22Algae points40
103Total teleop110
Reef
6L4#9
10L3#9
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points2
130Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#19
52.31.4
50.649.2
Auto12.5
Teleop36.3
End3.6
blue by 18.9
71.23.6
63.066.6
Auto17.7
Teleop45.2
End8.4
Second
5181
#12
47.51.4
48.647.2
Auto8.1
Teleop35.7
End3.7
red by 29.3
9991
#20
18.26.1
9.815.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
708
#28
29.51.4
30.629.2
Auto5.0
Teleop21.8
End2.7
red by 15.0
9984
#24
14.56.1
8.514.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned