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Red193
121857.8
998915.0
901556.7
Blue124
437339.5
32123.9
171233.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143114406080100160180193124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+51Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +33
19Coral scored#15
70Coral points53
3Processor algae#5
11Net algae#4
18Processor points30
44Net points16
62Algae points46
132Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#6
8L3#5
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#26
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
193Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.82.8
53.155.9
Auto16.7
Teleop31.5
End9.6
red by 18.3
4373
#33
39.50.3
36.235.9
Auto9.1
Teleop25.5
End5.0
Second
56.72.8
52.154.9
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End5.7
red by 23.3
1712
#18
33.50.3
29.228.9
Auto4.9
Teleop23.8
End4.7
Third
9989
#29
15.04.7
9.814.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End0.8
blue by 8.9
321
#32
23.90.3
23.723.4
Auto8.5
Teleop14.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed