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Red93
43318.2
997910.4
27238.7
Blue127
83457.7
31654.3
164022.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6516105010020025093127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points10
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +25
10Coral scored#17
37Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
57Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
93Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#13
38.71.0
38.139.0
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End9.6
blue by 19.0
834
#11
57.71.4
59.458.0
Auto10.3
Teleop36.4
End11.0
Second
433
#31
18.21.0
17.218.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.7
blue by 36.1
316
#4
54.31.4
51.650.2
Auto15.9
Teleop34.7
End3.8
Third
9979
#23
10.41.6
8.710.4
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 11.7
22.11.4
23.021.6
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned