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Red99
253952.3
680815.2
48443.0
Blue33
999312.7
42710.2
99981.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13611501001502002509933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+60Teleop
+60Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
60Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#1
5L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
6Foul points0
99Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#19
52.31.0
49.248.2
Auto12.5
Teleop36.3
End3.6
red by 39.6
9993
#27
12.71.0
11.712.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End-0.4
Second
484
#6
43.01.0
40.539.5
Auto13.5
Teleop24.5
End5.1
red by 32.8
427
#30
10.20.6
9.610.2
Auto2.4
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Third
6808
#22
15.21.0
16.215.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.8
End0.6
red by 14.2
9998
#34
1.01.0
-0.01.0
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned6%Barge oddsMissed