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Red171
34163.4
1015720.1
741437.7
Blue104
518147.5
70829.5
998915.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14599050200250300171104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+39Teleop
+55Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
23Coral scored#19
83Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
111Total teleop93
Reef
9L4#9
9L3#6
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#26
BargeRed +16
18Cage & park2
18Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +67
12Foul points0
171Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#10
63.40.6
61.762.3
Auto12.0
Teleop44.2
End7.2
red by 15.9
5181
#12
47.50.1
47.247.1
Auto8.1
Teleop35.7
End3.7
Second
37.70.6
36.036.6
Auto6.3
Teleop26.9
End4.4
red by 8.2
708
#28
29.50.1
29.229.1
Auto5.0
Teleop21.8
End2.7
Third
20.10.6
18.419.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End4.7
red by 5.2
9989
#29
15.00.2
14.514.3
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End0.8