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Red28
540136.7
998414.5
32123.9
Blue63
192358.4
171233.5
999312.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141580502002503002863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+43
Endgame+41
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave6
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +23
2Coral scored#7
8Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
12Total teleop35
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
6Foul points0
28Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#14
36.75.0
43.638.7
Auto3.4
Teleop29.5
End3.9
blue by 21.8
1923
#15
58.44.2
66.061.7
Auto17.2
Teleop39.1
End2.2
Second
321
#32
23.95.0
33.828.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.0
End1.4
blue by 9.6
1712
#18
33.54.2
40.636.4
Auto4.9
Teleop23.8
End4.7
Third
9984
#24
14.58.3
17.08.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End1.6
red by 1.9
9993
#27
12.77.1
17.09.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed