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Red143
121857.8
741437.7
331472.2
Blue65
997910.4
253952.3
29331.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19512205010015025014365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+54Teleop
+72Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
14Coral scored#8
50Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
18Processor points6
8Net points16
26Algae points22
76Total teleop50
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#14
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
6Foul points0
143Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.22.6
79.877.2
Auto17.5
Teleop44.3
End10.3
red by 19.9
2539
#19
52.33.5
55.051.5
Auto12.5
Teleop36.3
End3.6
Second
57.82.6
56.553.8
Auto16.7
Teleop31.5
End9.6
red by 25.9
293
#25
31.93.5
43.339.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End7.8
Third
37.72.6
37.635.0
Auto6.3
Teleop26.9
End4.4
red by 27.3
9979
#23
10.45.9
16.810.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed