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Red125
27238.7
70829.5
31654.3
Blue35
998915.0
99981.0
999915.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1802905010015020025012535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+80Teleop
+90Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +66
13Coral scored#5
46Coral points18
3Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
18Processor points0
24Net points4
42Algae points4
88Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points0
125Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#4
54.31.7
54.953.2
Auto15.9
Teleop34.7
End3.8
red by 38.5
9999
#21
15.92.2
16.814.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.5
End2.0
Second
272
#13
38.71.7
46.244.5
Auto6.2
Teleop23.0
End9.6
red by 23.8
9989
#29
15.02.2
11.89.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End0.8
Third
708
#28
29.51.7
41.039.4
Auto5.0
Teleop21.8
End2.7
red by 28.5
9998
#34
1.02.2
16.814.7
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed