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Red164
540136.7
260771.2
121857.8
Blue135
10355.6
331472.2
42710.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17216950100150200250164135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+7Teleop
+17Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
17Coral scored#21
61Coral points75
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
103Total teleop103
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#6
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
12Foul points0
164Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.20.8
63.062.2
Auto17.7
Teleop45.2
End8.4
blue by 0.9
72.21.3
77.275.9
Auto17.5
Teleop44.3
End10.3
Second
57.80.8
53.853.0
Auto16.7
Teleop31.5
End9.6
red by 2.2
103
#17
55.61.3
54.753.4
Auto2.3
Teleop47.6
End5.7
Third
5401
#14
36.70.8
38.737.9
Auto3.4
Teleop29.5
End3.9
red by 26.5
427
#30
10.21.3
13.812.5
Auto2.4
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned