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Red169
34163.4
1015720.1
741437.7
Blue199
901556.7
121857.8
999118.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136143120160180169199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+14
Endgame+10
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave6
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points37
30Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +1
16Coral scored#21
59Coral points74
4Processor algae#5
9Net algae#4
24Processor points30
36Net points16
60Algae points46
119Total teleop120
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#9
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#37
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points20
169Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#10
63.40.8
62.763.4
Auto12.0
Teleop44.2
End7.2
red by 5.7
57.80.6
57.858.4
Auto16.7
Teleop31.5
End9.6
Second
37.70.8
36.937.7
Auto6.3
Teleop26.9
End4.4
blue by 19.0
56.70.6
56.757.4
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End5.7
Third
20.10.8
19.420.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End4.7
red by 2.0
9991
#20
18.21.0
18.219.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End2.9