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Red150
680825.7
255434.0
692137.6
Blue97
30332.6
463717.0
1015719.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916705010015015097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+61Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
23Coral scored#13
81Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
117Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#5
9L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
0Cage & park8
0Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
150Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6921
#16
37.63.3
29.933.2
Auto6.0
Teleop30.5
End1.1
red by 5.0
303
#12
32.60.7
31.031.7
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
Second
2554
#11
34.03.3
30.333.5
Auto7.5
Teleop25.6
End1.0
red by 15.0
19.00.7
17.217.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End4.3
Third
6808
#14
25.73.3
19.422.6
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End1.7
red by 8.7
4637
#17
17.00.7
14.214.9
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed