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Red157
180757.2
43026.8
518137.8
Blue83
20317.6
941623.1
81618.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13251010015020015783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+60Teleop
+60Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +50
21Coral scored#9
75Coral points33
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
101Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#2
6L3#4
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
14Foul points0
157Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.9
48.149.0
Auto12.2
Teleop39.1
End5.8
red by 34.0
9416
#22
23.10.6
16.817.4
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End5.6
Second
37.80.9
41.242.1
Auto6.3
Teleop25.8
End5.8
red by 19.3
816
#27
18.50.6
15.816.5
Auto2.7
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Third
430
#15
26.80.9
18.319.2
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End3.4
red by 9.2
203
#30
17.60.6
19.820.4
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned