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Red53
870624.3
1000119.5
910017.0
Blue80
1040017.5
902718.0
1150.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6310002040801201401605380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+25
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +14
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
6Processor points0
0Net points12
6Algae points12
24Total teleop38
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
53Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8706
#23
24.30.2
22.021.8
Auto5.7
Teleop11.0
End7.6
blue by 26.3
11
#10
50.60.1
53.953.8
Auto11.3
Teleop29.4
End10.0
Second
19.50.2
17.317.1
Auto6.6
Teleop11.2
End1.7
red by 1.5
9027
#28
18.00.2
16.416.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Third
9100
#24
17.00.2
16.316.1
Auto2.9
Teleop13.0
End1.2
blue by 0.5
17.50.1
11.711.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned