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Qual 142025 FMA District Centennial Event
Red48
249530.8
437338.3
901417.3
Blue107
260765.4
911622.3
331471.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691385010015020048107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+49
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points33
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +32
6Coral scored#14
20Coral points50
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
28Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#7
1L3#6
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
48Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4373
#6
38.31.7
32.6→30.9
Auto11.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
blue by 33.0
3314
#2
71.31.0
51.2→50.2
Auto18.7
Teleop42.9
End9.7
Second
2495
#13
30.81.7
23.8→22.1
Auto4.2
Teleop24.8
End1.7
blue by 34.7
2607
#1
65.41.0
50.5→49.5
Auto16.2
Teleop39.7
End9.5
Third
9014
#29
17.31.7
14.8→13.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End3.2
blue by 5.0
9116
#25
22.31.0
17.6→16.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned