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Red115
139153.5
71428.6
43328.6
Blue98
863028.2
19332.6
457526.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958105015011598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+23Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +26
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
85Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +6
14Cage & park20
14Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
115Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.51.8
43.845.6
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End6.4
red by 20.9
193
#8
32.61.4
24.826.2
Auto3.9
Teleop24.7
End3.9
Second
714
#21
28.61.8
24.125.9
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End2.5
red by 0.4
8630
#18
28.21.4
24.726.1
Auto11.3
Teleop16.1
End0.9
Third
433
#9
28.61.8
19.721.6
Auto5.2
Teleop18.2
End5.2
red by 1.8
4575
#20
26.81.4
27.528.9
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsEarned