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Red76
463717.0
1040017.5
518137.8
Blue127
30332.6
81618.5
180757.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841255010015020076127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +47
10Coral scored#19
36Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
50Total teleop97
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#8
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
76Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.7
42.141.4
Auto6.3
Teleop25.8
End5.8
blue by 19.4
57.20.9
49.049.9
Auto12.2
Teleop39.1
End5.8
Second
17.50.7
11.610.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End1.5
blue by 15.1
303
#12
32.60.9
31.732.7
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
Third
4637
#17
17.00.7
14.914.2
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End2.4
blue by 1.5
816
#27
18.50.9
16.517.4
Auto2.7
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned