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Red92
463717.0
457526.8
1040017.5
Blue82
518137.8
20317.6
902718.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions571121001509282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+30Teleop
+12Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#8
48Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
74Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points2
92Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4575
#20
26.81.1
26.627.7
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.5
blue by 11.0
37.81.9
43.441.4
Auto6.3
Teleop25.8
End5.8
Second
17.51.1
10.511.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End1.5
blue by 0.4
9027
#28
18.03.2
23.720.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Third
4637
#17
17.01.2
15.216.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End2.4
blue by 0.5
203
#30
17.61.9
20.919.0
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned