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Red57
81618.5
1000119.5
680825.7
Blue74
437338.3
139153.5
863028.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381220501001502005774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+13
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#8
29Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
43Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
57Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6808
#14
25.70.6
18.118.6
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End1.7
blue by 27.7
53.52.2
45.243.0
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End6.4
Second
19.50.6
16.116.6
Auto6.6
Teleop11.2
End1.7
blue by 18.8
38.32.2
33.831.6
Auto11.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
Third
816
#27
18.50.6
14.615.1
Auto2.7
Teleop12.5
End3.3
blue by 9.7
8630
#18
28.22.2
28.426.1
Auto11.3
Teleop16.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed