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Red146
941623.1
30332.6
260765.4
Blue108
1150.6
249530.8
911622.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941046080120140146108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +43
24Coral scored#16
86Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
114Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#4
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points0
146Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.43.0
47.650.7
Auto16.2
Teleop39.7
End9.5
red by 14.8
11
#10
50.60.2
53.653.8
Auto11.3
Teleop29.4
End10.0
Second
303
#12
32.63.0
27.030.0
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
red by 1.8
2495
#13
30.80.2
25.025.2
Auto4.2
Teleop24.8
End1.7
Third
9416
#22
23.13.0
15.118.2
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End5.6
red by 0.8
9116
#25
22.30.2
17.818.1
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned