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Red45
941623.1
255434.0
1040017.5
Blue104
260765.4
1000119.5
437338.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6812505010015020045104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+65
Endgame+71
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +38
3Leave3
1Coral scored#9
6Coral points44
9Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +27
4Coral scored#10
16Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
24Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
12Foul points0
45Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2554
#11
34.02.2
35.433.2
Auto7.5
Teleop25.6
End1.0
blue by 31.4
65.40.0
51.551.4
Auto16.2
Teleop39.7
End9.5
Second
9416
#22
23.12.2
16.314.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End5.6
blue by 15.1
38.30.0
31.631.5
Auto11.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
Third
17.52.2
10.98.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End1.5
blue by 1.9
19.50.0
18.918.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed