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Red101
518137.8
43328.6
863028.2
Blue86
911622.3
43026.8
30332.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1057405015020010186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave9
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +12
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
74Total teleop62
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points4
101Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.1
41.441.2
Auto6.3
Teleop25.8
End5.8
red by 5.2
303
#12
32.60.1
32.732.8
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
Second
433
#9
28.60.1
22.522.3
Auto5.2
Teleop18.2
End5.2
red by 1.8
430
#15
26.80.1
18.118.2
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End3.4
Third
8630
#18
28.20.1
28.228.0
Auto11.3
Teleop16.1
End0.9
red by 5.9
9116
#25
22.30.1
18.318.4
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed