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Red105
680825.7
901417.3
180757.2
Blue72
692137.6
71428.6
870624.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929260708010011012013010572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+35Teleop
+47Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
17Coral scored#8
60Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
74Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points14
105Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.21.2
49.951.1
Auto12.2
Teleop39.1
End5.8
red by 19.6
6921
#16
37.61.6
33.832.2
Auto6.0
Teleop30.5
End1.1
Second
6808
#14
25.71.2
22.323.5
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End1.7
blue by 2.9
714
#21
28.61.6
24.623.0
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Third
9014
#29
17.31.2
14.916.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End3.2
blue by 7.0
8706
#23
24.31.6
23.521.9
Auto5.7
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed