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Red109
1015719.0
139153.5
19332.6
Blue86
902718.0
249530.8
463717.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10758015020010986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+19Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points52
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
24Processor points6
20Net points8
44Algae points14
92Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
109Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.50.6
47.347.8
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End6.4
red by 22.7
2495
#13
30.81.5
22.724.2
Auto4.2
Teleop24.8
End1.7
Second
193
#8
32.60.6
25.826.4
Auto3.9
Teleop24.7
End3.9
red by 14.6
9027
#28
18.02.5
14.316.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Third
19.00.6
16.617.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End4.3
red by 2.0
4637
#17
17.01.5
14.215.7
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed