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Red175
331471.3
81618.5
1150.6
Blue49
910017.0
457526.8
20317.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1436605010020017549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+112Teleop
+132Endgame
+126Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave6
7Coral scored#0
37Coral points0
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +81
24Coral scored#7
88Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
112Total teleop31
Reef
11L4#2
9L3#2
5L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#8
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +126
0Foul points6
175Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.33.0
51.154.1
Auto18.7
Teleop42.9
End9.7
red by 44.5
4575
#20
26.82.2
29.827.6
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.5
Second
11
#10
50.63.0
53.456.4
Auto11.3
Teleop29.4
End10.0
red by 33.0
203
#30
17.62.2
19.116.9
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End4.9
Third
816
#27
18.53.0
17.420.4
Auto2.7
Teleop12.5
End3.3
red by 1.5
9100
#24
17.02.2
18.115.9
Auto2.9
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed